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The New York Yankees (22-18) host the Tampa Bay Rays (30-10) in an AL East contest on Saturday afternoon. The Rays are currently first in the division standings. Meanwhile, New York sits in the fifth spot. Tampa Bay is 6-1 in its last seven after allowing five runs or more in their previous game. The Yankees are 4-1 in their last five Saturday games. Shane McClanahan (7-0, 1.76 ERA) starts for Tampa Bay. Nestor Cortes (3-2, 4.74 ERA) is on the mound for the Yankees.

The first pitch is set for 1:05 p.m. ET. Tampa Bay is listed at -140 on the money line (risk $140 to win $100) in the latest Rays vs. Yankees odds from Caesars Sportsbook. The over/under for total runs scored is 8. Before making any Yankees vs. Rays picks, you need to see the MLB predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's advanced computer simulation model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It went 331-285 on top-rated MLB money-line picks (+357) over the past two seasons, It has opened the 2023 MLB season on a 17-12 roll on all-top rated MLB picks. Anybody who has followed it has seen profitable returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Yankees vs. Rays and just locked in its picks and MLB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Now, here are several MLB betting lines and trends for Rays vs. Yankees:

  • Yankees vs. Rays money line: Rays -140, Yankees +118
  • Yankees vs. Rays run line: Rays -1.5 (+118)
  • Yankees vs. Rays over/under: 8 runs
  • TB: Rays are 10-2 in their last 12 during Game 3 of a series
  • NYY: Yankees are 6-1 in their last seven games on grass
  • Yankees vs. Rays picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why you should back the Rays

First baseman Yandy Diaz has been a tremendous run-producer with good patience at the dish. Diaz possesses home-run power and quickly gains confidence as a batter. The 31-year-old is 11th in the majors in batting average (.311), tied for 10th in homers (9) and fifth in OPS (.983). He's tallied a hit in nine straight games.

Right fielder Josh Lowe has a line-drive swing and sprays the ball anywhere on the diamond. The 25-year-old is batting .321 along with nine dingers and 28 RBI. Lowe has finished with a hit in two of his last three matchups. In the May 11 win over the Yankees, Lowe went 2 of 5 with a two-run homer and five total RBI. See which team to pick here.

Why you should back the Yankees

First baseman Anthony Rizzo is a powerful slugger. Rizzo has shown the ability to spray the ball anywhere on the diamond with home-run power. The 33-year-old leads the team in home runs (8) and hits (44) and has a .301 batting average. He recorded at least two hits in four of his last five outings. In the May 10 contest versus the Oakland Athletics, he was 2-of-4 with two singles and two runs scored.

Center fielder Aaron Judge is a massive presence. Judge covers the plate well and has an effortless swing to smack the ball around. The four-time All-Star also has a strong throwing arm from the outfield. He has a batting average of .255 with six home runs and 16 RBI. On May 10, Judge went 3-of-4 with a double. See which team to pick here.

How to make Yankees vs. Rays picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 8.4 combined runs. It also says one side of the money line has all of the value. You can only get the model's MLB picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Yankees vs. Rays? And which side has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of Rays vs. Yankees you need to jump on, all from the model that has gone 17-12 on its top-rated MLB picks, and find out.